arXiv:2608.16323cs.SIcs.CY2026-08被引 2

通过用户行为模式识别并解释虚假信息主要传播者。

Predicting, Evaluating, and Explaining Top Misinformation Spreaders via Archetypal User Behavior

论文配图:Predicting, Evaluating, and Explaining Top Misinformation Spreaders via Archetypal User Behavior
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 划分三类传播者:放大者、超级传播者、协同账号,基于行为特征建模。
  • 超级传播者特征在高影响力用户中占主导,多类型特征在低排名更显著。
  • 结合时间动态与可解释AI,提升预测精度并降低数据需求。

社交媒体上虚假信息的传播对在线社区和社会构成重大挑战。并非所有用户都同等参与:少数高效率个体能产生巨大影响,放大错误叙事并造成严重社会危害。本文旨在通过主动干预减轻虚假信息传播,依据关键行为指标识别并排序用户。研究分析三类用户原型——放大者、超级传播者和协同账号——各自具有独特的虚假信息扩散行为模式,这些原型并非互斥,个别用户可能兼具多种特征。我们开发并评估了多个与特定原型对应的用户排序模型,发现超级传播者特征在最具影响力的虚假信息传播者中始终占据主导地位。随着排名下降,多种原型之间的相互作用愈发明显。此外,我们展示了时间动态在预测性能中的关键作用,并提出方法减少数据需求,缩短准确预测所需的观察窗口。最后,我们证明了可解释AI(XAI)技术的价值,将多种原型特征整合进统一模型,提升可解释性,深入揭示虚假信息传播的关键驱动因素。研究成果为识别潜在有害用户和指导内容审核策略提供可操作工具,帮助平台更有效地监控高风险账户。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The spread of misinformation on social networks poses a significant challenge to online communities and society at large. Not all users contribute equally to this phenomenon: a small number of highly effective individuals can exert outsized influence, amplifying false narratives and contributing to significant societal harm. This paper seeks to mitigate the spread of misinformation by enabling proactive interventions, identifying and ranking users according to key behavioral indicators associated with harmful content dissemination. We examine three user archetypes -- amplifiers, super-spreaders, and coordinated accounts -- each characterized by distinct behavioral patterns in the dissemination of misinformation. These are not mutually exclusive, and individual users may exhibit characteristics of multiple archetypes. We develop and evaluate several user ranking models, each aligned with a specific archetype, and find that super-spreader traits consistently dominate the top ranks among the most influential misinformation spreaders. As we move down the ranking, however, the interplay of multiple archetypes becomes more prominent. Additionally, we demonstrate the critical role of temporal dynamics in predictive performance, and introduce methods that reduce data requirements by minimizing the observation window needed for accurate forecasting. Finally, we demonstrate the utility and benefits of explainable AI (XAI) techniques, integrating multiple archetypal traits into a unified model to enhance interpretability and offer deeper insight into the key factors driving misinformation propagation. Our findings provide actionable tools for identifying potentially harmful users and guiding content moderation strategies, enabling platforms to monitor accounts of concern more effectively.

虚假信息用户行为可解释AI传播模型

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