arXiv:2608.16428cs.HCcs.AI2026-08

让AI的不确定性直接告诉人该怎么做,提升可监督性。

Visualizing Uncertainty-to-Action Composition for Human Oversight

  • 构建不确定性到行动的映射框架,按优先级与安全上下文生成响应
  • 实验显示新方法显著提升用户对AI决策流程的理解与判断准确率
  • 适合需要人工干预的高风险场景,如医疗、金融和灾害预警

人工智能系统常披露不确定性,但很少明确应如何响应。现有可视化多仅展示模型输出的不确定性,用户需自行判断应对措施。本文关注决策过程中的不确定性,提出一个不确定性到行动的绑定框架,通过优先级策略与上下文安全修正,将多重不确定性条件整合为单一监督响应,该响应决定AI辅助决策是否继续及如何进行,而非具体领域决策本身。同时提出ActionCue可视化工具,显式呈现这一组合过程。在医疗、信贷评估和灾害预测三个实际案例中,通过与仅显示置信度和数据级不确定性的方法对比,验证了该框架能明确表达不确定性如何转化为监督动作,使决策过程透明可查,而非隐含难懂。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Artificial intelligence systems often disclose uncertainty, yet they rarely make clear what response that uncertainty should trigger. Most uncertainty visualizations encode uncertainty in model outputs, leaving users to discern the most appropriate course of action. A second region of the design space--uncertainty in the decision process itself, including how multiple uncertainty conditions compose into an oversight response-- remains comparatively underexplored. We address this gap with two coupled contributions. First, we introduce an uncertainty-to-action binding framework that composes multiple uncertainty conditions into a single oversight response under a precedence policy with a contextual safety modifier. That response concerns whether and how an AI-supported decision may proceed, not the substantive domain decision itself. Second, we present ActionCue, a process-transparency visualization that renders that composition explicit. We demonstrate the approach through a three-way comparison with confidence-only and data-level uncertainty displays, using worked cases from healthcare, credit assessment, and disaster forecasting. Together, the framework specifies how uncertainty conditions are resolved into an oversight response, and the visualization makes that resolution inspectable rather than implicit.

AI可解释性人机协作不确定性可视化

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