用单次航拍影像快速估算飓风后垃圾体积,误差远低于传统方法。
Rapid Debris-Volume Estimation from Post-Hurricane Aerial Imagery
- 基于分割引导的单目深度网络,从一张航拍图推断垃圾高度与体积。
- 在10个区域验证中,预测值与实际清运量误差小于30%,优于现有模型2.7至4.8倍。
- 无需激光雷达或实地勘测,适合灾后快速评估,尤其适合应急响应团队。
飓风后垃圾清运的计划、合同与联邦报销依赖于体积估算,但现行做法仍依赖参数化预测(存在41%-90%高估)或清运车次统计,后者需待运输开始后才可获取。本文提出DebrisHeightNet,一种基于分割条件的单目垃圾高度估计网络,可从一次灾后航拍的RGB影像中生成空间显式的垃圾体积估计,该类影像通常在飓风登陆后数日内即可获取。仅在两个冻结的视觉基础模型之上训练一个轻量级1.08M参数头,其以Depth Anything V2为骨干,结合我们先前工作中的CLIPSeg-debris分割结果进行条件控制。由于缺乏灾后垃圾高度真实标注,我们通过置信度加权激光雷达-单目融合(CW-LMF)合成训练目标,有效抑制非垃圾激光点云干扰。此融合目标为构造性监督信号,而非真实标签,故通过外部参考进行验证。通过区域级幂律校准(基于低密度垃圾占比),将模型体积输出转化为可报告的清运量估计,并附带不确定性量化。在涵盖五个飓风、三个州的十个区域中,未校准模型与独立无人机调查的相关系数达Spearman ρ=0.87,且预测值落在实际清运量的30%以内,而Hazus和FEMA混合模型则高估2.7–4.8倍。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Hurricane debris removal is planned, contracted, and federally reimbursed on the basis of volume estimates, yet operational practice still relies on parametric forecasts with 41-90% documented over-estimation or on truck-load tallies that arrive only after hauling begins. We present DebrisHeightNet, a segmentation-conditioned monocular debris-height network that estimates spatially explicit debris volume from a single pass of post-event aerial RGB imagery, the kind of survey routinely flown within days of a hurricane landfall. We train only a lightweight 1.08 M-parameter head on top of two frozen vision foundation models. This head regresses height from a Depth Anything V2 backbone, conditioned on the debris segmentation of CLIPSeg-debris from our prior work. Because no post-hurricane debris-height ground truth exists, we synthesize the training target by confidence-weighted LiDAR-monocular fusion (CW-LMF), designed to suppress non-debris LiDAR returns. This fused target is a constructed supervision signal rather than ground truth, so we corroborate it against external references rather than claiming it as truth. A region-level power-law calibration, driven by each region's low-density debris fraction, converts model volume into an estimate of the reported hauled debris with quantified uncertainty. Across ten regions spanning five hurricanes and three states, the uncalibrated model agrees with an independent uncrewed-aerial-vehicle (UAV) survey of the training region at Spearman $ρ= 0.87$ and lands within 30% of the reported record where the Hazus and FEMA-hybrid parametric forecasts over-predict it by 2.7-4.8$\times$. Deployment requires no LiDAR, no ground access, and no second flight, so the method can produce spatially explicit volume estimates wherever single-pass post-event imagery is flown.
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