针对高维时空输出问题,提出自适应代理建模方法以降低计算成本。
Adaptive surrogate modeling for high-dimensional spatio-temporal output

- 先降维再建模,将高维输出映射到低维隐空间
- 通过误差评估识别新训练点,减少物理模型调用次数
- 适合需多次求解的不确定性量化与优化任务
本文针对具有极高维时空输出的问题,提出一种自适应代理建模方法。对多物理场时空系统的分析计算代价高昂,包含大量输入与输出。代理模型常用于替代物理模型,以提升不确定性量化和优化等需频繁调用的任务效率。为应对高维时空输出的挑战,首先采用降维方法将高维输出映射至低维隐空间,随后在该空间构建代理模型。通过不同误差度量评估原始空间中的预测误差(包含重构误差与代理模型误差),根据代理模型精度识别新增训练点,实现自适应改进。提出一种融合探索与利用的新型自适应采样技术,以最少的物理模型运行次数提升代理模型精度。通过燃气轮机叶片热-机械分析验证了该方法的有效性。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
This paper develops an adaptive surrogate modeling method for problems with very high-dimensional spatio-temporal outputs. The analysis of spatio-temporal multi-physics systems is computationally expensive and consists of a large number of inputs and outputs. Surrogate models are often constructed to replace the physics-based model to achieve computational efficiency in analyses such as uncertainty quantification and optimization that require many function calls. In order to address the challenge introduced by the high dimensionality of spatio-temporal output, a dimension reduction method is first employed to map the high-dimensional output to a low-dimensional latent space. This is followed by the construction of the surrogate model in the low-dimensional space. The prediction error in the original space, which includes both the reconstruction error and surrogate model error, is evaluated using different error metrics. Based on the prediction accuracy of the surrogate model, new training points are identified for adaptive improvement of the surrogate model. We present a novel adaptive sampling technique that combines exploration and exploitation to improve the surrogate model accuracy with the fewest possible runs of the expensive physics-based model. Thermo-mechanical analysis of a gas turbine engine blade is used to analyze the effectiveness of the proposed method.
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