arXiv:2608.18558cs.LGcs.AI2026-08中稿 · IEEE TGRS

用机器学习预测潮汐影响下的海滩平衡剖面,精度远超传统方法。

MorphoGP: A Nonparametric Framework for Predicting Equilibrium Beach Profiles Under Tidal Influence

论文配图:MorphoGP: A Nonparametric Framework for Predicting Equilibrium Beach Profiles Under Tidal Influence
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 基于对比学习自动分类潮滩形态,再用高斯过程建模环境与剖面关系。
  • 在180多个中国潮滩数据上测试,误差比最优基线降低59.3%,最终RMSE为0.297米。
  • 适合海岸工程、生态保护等需要精准预测滩型变化的场景。

潮汐影响下平衡海滩剖面的预测对可持续海岸开发至关重要,可指导岸线保护和生态系统管理。然而,波浪、潮汐与沉积过程间高度非线性相互作用使预测困难。传统经验与数值模型在多样海岸环境中适应性差,尤其在潮汐主导区表现不佳。为此,本文提出MorphoGP——一种面向潮汐影响海滩形态的类别特异性高斯过程框架。首先通过基于对比学习的ContourCluster模型自动分类潮滩地貌;在每类中,专用高斯过程专家学习波浪、潮汐、沉积物等环境特征与剖面形状的统计关联;最后由门控网络以概率加权融合各专家输出,生成最终预测。在超过180个中国潮汐海岸海滩剖面数据上评估,该框架显著优于传统与深度学习模型,测试集RMSE相比最优基线降低约59.3%,最终达到0.297米。该框架为潮汐条件下平衡剖面预测提供了物理可解释的数据驱动工具,未来可进一步加强过程机制耦合。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The prediction of equilibrium beach profiles under tidal influence is of fundamental importance for sustainable coastal development, informing shoreline protection strategies and managing coastal ecosystems under changing environmental conditions. However, it remains challenging due to the highly nonlinear interactions among wave, tide, and sedimentary processes. Traditional empirical and numerical models often exhibit limited adaptability across diverse coastal environments, with especially pronounced limitations in beach systems where tidal processes are important . To improve data-driven prediction under these conditions, this study proposes MorphoGP, a unified category-specific Gaussian process framework for predicting equilibrium beach profiles (EBPs) under tidal influence. The framework first introduces a ContourCluster model based on contrastive learning to classify tide-influenced beach morphologies automatically. Within each morphological category, a specialized Gaussian process expert learns statistical associations between environmental descriptors including waves, tides, and sediments and the beach profile's shape. A Gating Net then integrates the outputs of all experts through a probabilistic weighting mechanism to produce the final prediction. Evaluated on data from over 180 beach profiles from tide-influenced coasts along the Chinese coast, MorphoGP achieves improved predictive performance compared with conventional and deep learning models, reducing the test RMSE by about 59.3\% compared with the best baseline and achieving a final RMSE of 0.297 m. The proposed framework provides a physically informed, data-driven tool for equilibrium beach-profile prediction under tidal influence and coastal management, while stronger process-level physical coupling remains an important direction for future development.

海岸工程高斯过程形态预测潮汐影响

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