arXiv:2608.20222gr-qcastro-ph.IM2026-08

用机器学习生成引力波波形,加速参数估计并纠正偏差

Gravitational-wave parameter estimation with machine-learning generated surrogate waveforms

论文配图:Gravitational-wave parameter estimation with machine-learning generated surrogate waveforms
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 两阶段自编码器模型生成四参数波形,先预测幅值相位,再校正残差
  • 波形匹配度中位数达10⁻²,校准后误差低至10⁻⁶
  • 可修正系统性偏差,使低精度波形在低信噪比下仍可用

全球引力波探测网络迄今已探测到超过350次双星并合事件。未来第三代探测器(如爱因斯坦望远镜)预计将探测数量级更多的信号,来源特征更复杂,包括偏心轨道和高质量比双星。这类源的参数估计计算成本极高,尤其当理论波形生成速度提升时,可显著加速过程。近年来,多种机器学习方法被用于此目的。本文提出一种两阶段确定性条件自编码器模型,用于生成四参数SEOBNRv4波形:第一阶段生成波形的幅值与相位序列,第二阶段校准预测残差。模型对目标极化波形的中位不匹配度约为10⁻²,校准后的幅值/相位序列达到10⁻⁶量级的余弦距离误差。随后,我们引入波形条件化步骤,使这些代理波形可用于下游参数估计任务。通过注入机器学习与有效势波形,开展广泛参数估计测试,发现使用机器学习波形恢复有效势目标参数时,后验分布存在系统性偏差。该偏差可被估计并校正,结合重要性重加权后,可在低信噪比下使用低精度代理波形。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The worldwide network of gravitational-wave detectors have detected more than 350 binary coalescence events till date. Future third-generation detectors, like Einstein telescope, are expected to detect orders-of-magnitude more signals from sources with more complicated characteristics, including eccentric orbits and high-mass ratio binaries. It is well-established that the computational cost of parameter estimation for signals from these kinds of sources will be extremely high. In particular, the process could be sped-up if generating theoretical waveform predictions, used for likelihood calculation becomes faster. Recently, various machine-learning techniques has been proposed to this end. In this work, we propose a two-stage deterministic conditional-autoencoder model for generating four-parameter SEOBNRv4 waveforms. The first-stage of the model generates amplitude and phase series of the waveform, while the second-stage calibrates the residual error in the predictions. Our model achieves a median mismatch of around $10^{-2}$ with the target polarization waveforms, while the calibrated amplitude/phase series achieve $10^{-6}$ level cosine distance error. We then propose a waveform conditioning step to enable use of these surrogate waveforms for downstream parameter estimation tasks. Finally, we perform extensive parameter estimation tests, with ML and EOB waveform injections and try to recover posterior estimates for the source parameters. We find that when ML waveforms are used to recover EOB target parameter estimates, the inferred posterior have some systematic bias. This inherent bias can be estimated and corrected for, and then importance reweighting of posterior samples can enable use of low-accuracy surrogate waveforms at low SNRs.

引力波机器学习参数估计波形生成

Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。