arXiv:2608.20425cs.AIcs.CY2026-08

分析5.3万份AI任务配置,发现谁真正把工作交给AI

Who Delegates to AI? Evidence from 53,000 Agent Configurations

论文配图:Who Delegates to AI? Evidence from 53,000 Agent Configurations
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 用共享技能库匹配职业任务,量化实际委托给AI的程度
  • 高薪职业和高学历者并未大量使用AI,与技术能力不匹配
  • 适合关注AI落地、职场变革与技术采纳的研究者

现有文献多衡量职业受AI影响的潜在暴露程度,但未反映实际采用情况。本文提出‘委托暴露’概念,通过‘代理采纳指数’(AAI)衡量工作者是否已将任务交由AI执行。基于约5.3万个来自Manus技能市场的代理技能规范,与约1.8万个O*NET职业任务语义相似度匹配,并聚合至职业层级。结果显示:第一,高度委托的岗位与传统高风险岗位差异显著;第二,AAI比现有可用性指标更能反映实际使用情况;第三,AAI在本科教育水平和中等收入群体中最高,两极均下降。技术可行性解释大部分差异,但无法解释高学历群体的使用缺口,暗示某些工作难以形式化或专业自主权制约自动化进程。未来需定期测量以追踪演变。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

A growing literature measures how far occupations are exposed to AI, but these measures capture where AI could perform tasks, not whether workers have adopted it. We propose a new layer of exposure, delegated exposure, which records whether a worker has committed a task to AI by building it into a workflow. We operationalize it as the Agentic Adoption Index (AAI), which measures how closely an occupation's tasks match the agentic routines practitioners have already built and shared. We embed roughly 53,000 agent skill specifications from the Manus Skills Marketplace, compute their semantic similarity to about 18,000 O*NET task statements, and aggregate to the occupation level. Three findings follow. First, the occupations where delegation concentrates differ sharply from those pre-AI frameworks identified as most at risk. Second, the AAI tracks what AI could do more closely than what workers currently use it for. Third, the AAI peaks below the top of the wage distribution and at the bachelor's level, declining at both extremes. Technical availability explains most of this variation, but not the shortfall among the most educated occupations, so feasibility alone cannot account for who adopts. That shortfall may reflect work that resists advance specification, or professional discretion over the pace of codification. Distinguishing the two, and tracking how these measures diverge over time, will require repeated measurement.

AI采纳职业分析技术落地人力资本

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