大模型能精准补全合同缺失条款,证明真实交易细节远比想象丰富。
Generative Gap Filling
- 用大模型分析合同剩余内容,自动推断被隐藏的协商条款
- 模型准确率接近90%,远超人类专家的50%左右
- 为法院填补法律空白提供可争议的实证依据,适合法律科技与AI应用者
大多数合同诉讼依赖于未能完整记录双方交易的合同。当文本解释无法解决争议时,法院需填补空白。学界长期认为,合同文本在争议点上信息有限,法官只能依靠商业惯例或个人政策偏好进行补充。然而,我们通过真实合同实验发现:将已协商的条款遮蔽后,普通读者猜中概率约为50%,是随机猜测的两倍;法学生和律师略优;而大语言模型仅凭合同其余部分,预测准确率高达近90%。这表明合同中隐含的协议信息远超文献预期,包括当事人未明确写出的内容。我们主张,合同如同遥远的无线信号,即便残缺,仍可通过合适接收器重构完整信息。真正的法律空白其实比预想稀少。法院可将模型预测视为可质疑的一般证据,当事人也可通过‘选择模型’条款规范该实践。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Most contract litigation turns on contracts that imperfectly record parties' bargains. When the parties' dispute can't be solved by interpreting the text, courts fill the gap. Scholars have long assumed that the remaining text runs out quickly, and provides thin evidence of the actual deal on the disputed point. On that view, a judge who supplies the missing term must be drawing on something else, from commercial defaults to her own policy preferences. Despite generations of work, courts have no real alternative to such unruly methods. We tested that assumption. Taking real contracts, we masked a term the parties had negotiated and asked readers to predict what we removed. Lay respondents recovered the hidden term about half the time, twice what chance predicts. Law students and lawyers did marginally better. But large language models, given nothing but the rest of the contract, recovered it nearly nine times in ten. The deal, in short, testifies to far more of the agreement than the literature assumes, including terms the parties never wrote. A contract, we argue, is like a radio signal from far away. Even when incomplete, enough of the message is carried elsewhere that the missing part can be reconstructed with the right receiver. True gaps are rarer than supposed. Courts can weigh model predictions as ordinary, contestable evidence, and parties can discipline the practice with "Choice of Model" clauses.
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