通过甲基化分析,实现黑色素瘤病变的精准分类与治疗分层。
DNA Methylation Profiling in Melanoma: From Lesion Classification to Therapeutic Stratification
- 基于特定CpG位点的机器学习模型,准确区分良性痣、原位癌和侵袭性癌。
- 外部验证集诊断准确率达0.919,中间型病变呈现介于两者间的甲基化特征。
- 融合细胞组成等生物特征的模型可预测临床治疗分组,误差仅0.627。
DNA甲基化为细胞身份提供稳定记录,反映在共享基因组下区分细胞状态的表观遗传程序。由于恶性转化和肿瘤进展伴随广泛表观遗传重塑,我们假设黑色素细胞病变的甲基组图谱包含诊断和疾病进展的生物学及临床意义信息。在德国八所大学医院前瞻性收集的1,001个组织样本中,使用Illumina Infinium MethylationEPIC芯片进行甲基化分析,比较了基于选定胞嘧啶-磷酸-鸟嘌呤(CpG)位点的机器学习模型与整合表观遗传年龄加速、细胞类型组成及拷贝数变异负荷等生物学引导特征的模型。外部测试集中,最优诊断分类器基于CpG位点,区分黑素细胞痣(NV)、非侵袭性黑色素瘤(NIM)和侵袭性黑色素瘤(IM),宏平均AUC达0.919(95%置信区间:0.878至0.952)。值得注意的是,在NV与IM间最显著高/低甲基化的CpG位点上,NIM呈现中间甲基化模式,为诊断复杂性提供了分子依据。最佳临床相关治疗分组预测模型依赖于生物学引导特征,宏平均平均绝对误差为0.627(95%置信区间:0.477至0.808)。这些结果表明,甲基化模型可同时捕捉诊断身份与临床相关疾病分层,支持DNA甲基化作为值得进一步验证和潜在临床转化的生物标志物。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
DNA methylation provides a stable record of cellular identity, capturing epigenetic programs that distinguish specialized cell states despite a shared genome. Because malignant transformation and tumour progression are accompanied by extensive epigenetic remodeling, we hypothesized that the methylome of melanocytic lesions contains biologically and clinically relevant information for both diagnosis and disease progression. In a cohort of 1,001 tissue samples prospectively collected across eight German university hospitals profiled using Illumina Infinium MethylationEPIC arrays, we compared machine-learning models based on selected Cytosine phosphate Guanine (CpG) methylation sites with models incorporating biology-guided features, including epigenetic age acceleration, cell type composition and copy-number variation burden. In an external test set, the best diagnostic classifier was CpG-based and distinguished melanocytic nevi, noninvasive melanoma and invasive melanoma with a macro-averaged area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.919 (95% CI: 0.878 to 0.952). Notably, across CpGs most strongly hyper- and hypomethylated between NV and IM, NIM showed an intermediate methylation profile, providing a molecular correlate of its diagnostic complexity. The best model for clinically relevant treatment group prediction, with AJCC stages grouped according to guideline-based management recommendations, relied on biology-guided features and achieved a macro-averaged mean absolute error of 0.627 (95% CI: 0.477 to 0.808). Together, these findings demonstrate that methylation-based models can capture both diagnostic identity and clinically relevant disease stratification, supporting DNA methylation as a promising biomarker for further validation and potential clinical translation.
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