arXiv:2608.21530cs.LG2026-08中稿 · author manuscript被引 1

用多源数据融合预测网球运动员伤病与表现,提升训练安全性。

Multimodal Injury Risk and Performance Prediction in Tennis Using Weighted Ensemble Learning

论文配图:Multimodal Injury Risk and Performance Prediction in Tennis Using Weighted Ensemble Learning
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 融合可穿戴设备、视频分析等多模态数据,分项提取健康、伤病等四类特征。
  • 通过自适应加权集成策略,使模型在9名大学生球员上实现高精度预测。
  • 适合高校及业余网球选手,帮助预防伤病并优化训练表现。

机器学习在体育领域展现出巨大潜力,尤其在运动员表现与伤病风险预测方面。尽管已有先进模型提升预测准确率,但数据稀缺和依赖主观判断仍制约发展。足球、篮球、摔跤等项目已开始整合可穿戴设备数据与传统评估,但网球领域此类多模态方法仍较少。本文提出多模态加权集成框架PART(Predictive Athlete Readiness for Tennis),用于监测网球运动员状态并预测短期伤病风险。该框架整合生理指标、训练与比赛数据、可穿戴设备记录的睡眠信息、自我报告问卷、垂直跳测试及比赛视频运动分析。各模态分别由专用机器学习与深度学习模型提取运动员整体健康、伤病风险、体能水平与打法风格四类特征。为应对多源异构数据融合难题,采用监督式自适应加权集成策略,动态分配各模型权重以提升可靠性。基于九名大学网球运动员的多模态数据评估表明,PART在监测运动员状态与预测短期受伤风险方面表现优异。该框架亦适用于业余选手,可提供个性化建议以降低受伤风险并优化表现。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Machine learning has had a positive impact on the sports industry, with one of its most promising applications being the prediction of athlete performance and injury risk. Recent advances have employed state-of-the-art models to improve prediction accuracy, yet progress remains limited by data availability and the reliance on subjective observations or expert assessments. To address these limitations, researchers in sports such as soccer, basketball, and wrestling have begun integrating heterogeneous data sources, such as wearable device readings, with traditional subjective assessments. However, similar multimodal approaches remain underexplored in tennis. In this work, we propose a multimodal weighted ensemble learning framework, Predictive Athlete Readiness for Tennis (PART), to monitor athlete wellness and estimate near-term injury risk in tennis players. PART processes a wide range of inputs, including physiological metrics, training and match data, sleep information from wearable devices, self-reported questionnaires, vertical jump assessments, and motion analysis from match-play videos. From these modalities, specialized machine learning and deep learning models independently extract four athlete-specific characteristics: overall wellness, injury risk, physical capability, and playing style. To overcome the complexity of combining these diverse modalities, PART employs a supervised weighted ensemble integration strategy, assigning adaptive weights to each predictive model based on its reliability. Evaluation of multimodal data collected from nine collegiate tennis players demonstrates that PART achieves strong performance in monitoring athlete wellness and estimating near-term injury susceptibility. Beyond collegiate athletes, the framework also shows promise for recreational tennis players, offering personalized insights to mitigate injury risk and optimize performance.

网球多模态伤病预测可穿戴

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