通过地理层级判断,让大模型在不确定时选择不回答,提升灾害决策可靠性。
GeoRisk-RAG: A Hierarchy-Aware Risk Framework for Improving RAG Reliability through Selective Answering

- 用有向无环图计算地理距离,判断答案是否适用于目标区域。
- 在火灾问答数据集上,错误自信率从9%降至0.9%,显著降低风险。
- 适合需要精准地理判断的灾害管理、城市规划等场景。
当前提升大语言模型生成答案可靠性的研究主要依赖检索增强生成(RAG)、知识图谱增强和强化学习。尽管这些方法能通过语义相似性和忠实度衡量可靠性,却难以区分语义相似性与地理有效性。在自然灾害管理领域,地理粒度(如镇、市、州)对决策至关重要,一个地区有效的答案未必适用于其他地区。在这种场景下,自信地给出错误答案的风险远高于放弃回答。本文提出GeoRisk-RAG,一种层次感知的可靠性框架,通过选择性回答弥补地理有效性缺口。该框架在生成回答前,利用基于有向无环图(DAG)的距离度量,显式评估上下文在地理上的适用性。在新构建的火灾相关问答数据集上的实验表明,GeoRisk-RAG将依赖地理位置的问题的错误自信率从约0.090显著降低至0.009,同时保持更高的真人偏好匹配度。本工作通过整合地理有效性与选择性回答行为,为端到端RAG流程提供了更全面的评估,助力地理空间领域更安全的决策。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Current work on improving reliability in large language model (LLM)- generated answers has primarily leveraged Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG), knowledge-graph augmentation, and reinforcement learning. While these methods are adept at enhancing and measuring reliability through semantic similarity and faithfulness, they often struggle to distinguish semantic similarity from geographic validity. This is especially critical in natural hazard management domains where geographic granularity (i.e., town vs. city vs. state) is significant for decision-making, as responses valid in one municipality may not transfer to another. In such domains, a confidently wrong answer carries greater risk than abstaining. We present GeoRisk-RAG, a novel hierarchy-aware framework that addresses this geographic-validity gap through selective answering. This framework explicitly estimates geographic applicability using a Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG)-based distance for context retrieval before response generation. Experiments on a novel held-out wildfire-related question-answering (QA) dataset show that GeoRisk-RAG significantly reduces false confidence rates for location-dependent questions, lowering the rate to 0.009 compared with ~0.090 for standard semantic similarity and reranking baselines, while consistently achieving higher human preference alignment. This work provides a more comprehensive assessment of end-to-end RAG pipelines by integrating geographic validity and selective-answering behavior for safer decision-making in geospatial domains.
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