用AI模型替代传统计算,实现托卡马克等离子体实时平衡预测。
AI Surrogate Modeling for Real-Time Tokamak Equilibrium Prediction: Benchmarking Neural Architectures and Validation on EXL-50U
- 构建AI代理模型框架,对比五种神经网络在10万组数据上的表现。
- CNN模型在精度、速度与泛化能力上综合最优,推理延迟仅0.7毫秒。
- 验证结果表明模型与真实装置一致性达10⁻³,适合实际核聚变控制应用。
快速可靠的等离子体平衡预测对托卡马克实时运行与控制至关重要,但传统梯度-沙弗兰诺夫(GS)求解器通常难以满足实时性要求。本文开发了一套AI代理模型框架,并在包含10万组独立同分布(IID)和1万组外部分布(OOD)样本的数值GS数据库上,基准测试了五种架构(MLP、CNN、FNO、Transformer、KAN)。在统一评估协议下,分析了精度、推理效率、模型扩展性及鲁棒性。同时,在EXL-50U托卡马克上完成设备级验证,将数值GS解、代理预测与标准形状编辑器参考进行比对,评估仿真到设备的一致性。代理模型相对GS解误差为10⁻³–10⁻²,而GS到设备的偏差保持在10⁻³量级。Transformer在IID场景下精度最佳,而CNN在精度、鲁棒性与速度间取得最优平衡,达到0.7毫秒的TensorRT延迟。在未见等离子体几何与参数条件下,CNN与FNO表现出最强外推稳定性,相对L₂误差为4%-5%;而归纳偏置弱的模型退化更明显。扩大数据与模型容量可提升内插性能,但未必改善外推,揭示容量与泛化之间的权衡。本工作提供了基于AI的GS预测系统性、设备一致性的基准,为实时等离子体控制与聚变应用提供实用选型指导。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Fast and reliable plasma equilibrium prediction is essential for real-time tokamak operation and control, but conventional Grad-Shafranov (GS) solvers are often too costly for real-time deployment. We develop an AI surrogate framework and benchmark five architectures (MLP, CNN, FNO, Transformer, and KAN) on a numerical GS database with 100,000 IID and 10,000 OOD samples. Under a unified protocol, we evaluate accuracy, inference efficiency, model scaling, and robustness. We also establish device-level validation on the EXL-50U tokamak by linking numerical GS solutions, surrogate predictions, and the standard Shape Editor reference to assess simulation-to-device consistency. The surrogates achieve errors of $10^{-3}$-$10^{-2}$ relative to GS solutions, while the GS-to-device discrepancy remains at $10^{-3}$. Transformer gives the best IID accuracy, whereas CNN offers the best balance of accuracy, robustness, and speed, reaching 0.7 ms TensorRT latency. On unseen plasma geometries and parameter regimes, CNN and FNO show the strongest extrapolation stability, with 4%-5% relative $L_2$ error, while models with weaker inductive biases degrade more substantially. Scaling data and model capacity improves interpolation but not necessarily extrapolation, revealing a trade-off between capacity and OOD generalization. Overall, this work provides a systematic, device-consistent benchmark for AI-based GS prediction and practical guidance for selecting reliable surrogates for real-time plasma control and fusion applications.
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