arXiv:2608.25498math.OCcs.LG2026-08

多视角张量分解提升交通流在线预测精度与鲁棒性

A Multi-View Coupled Tensor Decomposition for Lightweight Online Adaptive Traffic Prediction

  • 通过耦合张量分解建模多源交通数据的共享空间结构与独立时间动态
  • 在严重数据缺失下仍保持高精度,推理速度优于传统方法
  • 适合实时交通系统部署,对异常值有强鲁棒性

准确的在线交通预测对智能交通系统至关重要,尤其在感知不完整的情况下需持续进行。缺失观测与异常干扰使单视角预测困难。本文提出多视角耦合张量分解(MVCTD)模型,基于速度、流量和占有率等多源不完整观测实现在线预测。该模型通过耦合张量分解构建结构化潜在预测空间,联合建模跨视角共享空间结构与视角特异性时间动态,并引入组稀疏正则化以捕捉由真实交通异常引发的相关异常响应,降低其对预测的影响。为支持流式部署,MVCTD仅对当前潜在张量进行迭代优化,其余模型变量通过基于历史信息摘要的轻量闭式更新,避免对全历史序列重复优化。在真实交通数据集上的实验表明,该方法在严重缺失条件下仍能实现高精度预测且运行效率优越,验证了其在在线交通预测中的适用性。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Accurate online traffic prediction is essential for intelligent transportation systems, where forecasting must be performed continuously under imperfect sensing conditions. Missing observations and anomalous disturbances make this task challenging, particularly when prediction relies on a single traffic view. This paper proposes a Multi-View Coupled Tensor Decomposition (MVCTD) model for online traffic prediction from imperfect multi-view observations, such as speed, flow, and occupancy. The proposed model uses coupled tensor decomposition to build a structured latent forecasting space, in which shared spatial structures across traffic views and view-specific temporal dynamics are jointly modeled. A group sparse regularization is further introduced to capture correlated abnormal responses induced by real traffic anomalies and thus reduce their influence on forecasts. For streaming deployment, MVCTD performs iterative refinement only on the current latent tensor, while the remaining model variables are updated by lightweight closed-form steps based on summarized historical information, thereby avoiding repeated optimization over the full historical sequence. Experiments on real-world traffic datasets demonstrate that MVCTD achieves accurate forecasts with favorable runtime under severe missingness, confirming its suitability for online traffic prediction.

交通预测张量分解在线学习多视图建模

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