用机器学习关联垃圾处理与疾病,实现低成本智能分拣
Learning from waste: Machine Learning for health risk prediction and computer vision-based sorting in Ghana

- 结合问卷与垃圾图像数据,用随机森林预测疾病类型
- 垃圾分类识别准确率达88.2%,F1达0.87
- 为资源匮乏地区提供可落地的智能环卫方案
固体废物不当处置是全球性公共卫生与环境问题,加纳尤为突出。2022年在库马西阿顿苏的实地研究发现居民感知到垃圾处理与疾病间的关联,但缺乏量化验证。本研究采用两种数据驱动方法:一是基于垃圾处理方式和人口统计调查数据,构建随机森林分类器,对69名报告患病者进行疾病类型预测,宏F1得分为0.63,其中处理方式是最重要预测因子;二是利用MobileNetV2图像分类模型实现视觉识别自动分拣,在415张测试图像上达到88.2%准确率与0.87宏F1。该视觉方案无需复杂传感器,成本低,适用于资源受限场景。研究首次为社区感知的健康关联提供了量化证据,证明了低资源环境下自动化分拣的可行性。但结果也表明,技术性能需配合制度支持才能真正改善公共健康。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
The inappropriate disposal of solid waste remains a significant public health and environmental concern worldwide, including in Ghana. Poor sanitation and improper waste management practices contribute to substantial economic costs and avoidable deaths annually. In 2022, a field study in Atonsu, Kumasi, Ghana, reported a community-perceived relationship between household waste disposal and illness patterns, but only through descriptive analysis without quantitative validation. This study extends that investigation using two data-driven approaches. First, a Random Forest classifier was developed to predict illness categories using waste disposal practices and demographic survey data. On a held-out group of respondents who reported illness (N=69), the model obtained a macro F1 score of 0.63, with disposal method emerging as the most important substantive predictor of illness type. Second, a MobileNetV2 image classification model enabled automated waste sorting via visual recognition, achieving 88.2% accuracy and a macro F1 score of 0.87 on the test set (N=415). The vision-based approach offers an affordable, camera-driven alternative to complex multi-sensor systems, making it highly suitable for resource-constrained settings. Taken together, the findings provide quantitative evidence for a community health relationship previously documented only qualitatively. They demonstrate the potential for automated waste-sorting in low-resource environments. Importantly, the results illustrate that technological performance alone does not guarantee public health improvements; effective institutional support and implementation are equally necessary.
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