对话中如何判断该坚持还是修正理解?研究发现:先保留,等不确定累积才改。
Beyond Local Surprise: Grounded Dialogue as Selective Belief Revision under Referential Uncertainty

- 设计四种更新策略,对比在对话中何时应坚持或修正理解
- 积累不确定性后更新比局部不一致就更新更稳定且检索效果更好
- 符合概念契约理论,局部不一致反而促保守,长期不确定才改
当说话人描述听者无法直接看到的场景时,听者需决定是维持已有理解,还是随新话语调整。许多语言系统将局部不一致视为更新信号,但对话理解可能更保守:将新信息与既有认知相对比,而非立即修正。本文提出一个受控、数据驱动的逐轮“保留/修正”决策框架,在相同条件下学习不同修订策略。比较四种基于理论的修订策略,结果表明:仅依据局部偏差更新的策略虽对不一致反应强烈,但导致对话锚定不稳定且检索性能下降;而依赖不确定性的策略引入累积证据,既能保持理解连贯性,又能维持强检索表现。令人意外的是,连贯理解源自反直觉模式——局部不一致促进保留,累积不确定性才触发修订。该现象与概念契约理论一致。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
When a speaker refers to a scene that the listener cannot directly see, the listener must decide whether to preserve its current understanding or revise it as new utterances arrive. Many language systems treat local mismatch as a cue for updating: divergence from the current understanding encourages adjustment. Yet conversational understanding may be more conservative, interpreting mismatching evidence relative to prior understanding rather than immediately revising it. We introduce a controlled, data-driven framework for turn-by-turn preserve/revise decisions in dialogue, where competing revision policies are learned under otherwise identical conditions. We compare four theory-driven revision strategies, each reflecting a different assumption about when listeners should preserve or revise. Two findings stand out. First, a mismatch-driven policy that updates solely based on local divergence reacts strongly to mismatch but destabilizes grounding and degrades retrieval. Second, an uncertainty-sensitive policy extends mismatch-based updating with accumulated evidence, preserving coherent understanding while maintaining strong retrieval performance. Surprisingly, coherent understanding emerges from a counterintuitive pattern: local mismatch promotes preservation, whereas accumulated uncertainty promotes revision, suggesting that listeners maintain prior understanding despite local mismatch and revise only when uncertainty sufficiently accumulates. This pattern is consistent with conceptual pact theory.
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