arXiv:2608.28142cs.LG2026-08

用扩散模型生成真实电动车能耗轨迹,助力智能车队规划。

Conditional Diffusion Models for Energy-Efficient Driving

论文配图:Conditional Diffusion Models for Energy-Efficient Driving
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 构建条件扩散模型,基于路线特征生成电池电流时序
  • 生成轨迹与实测数据差距小,Wasserstein距离仅0.0029
  • 隐式条件编码比直接注入条件提升89%性能,适合车队调度

商用电动货车的电气化正推动路径规划从距离和时间优化转向能耗感知决策。现有序列模型多提供确定性点估计或有限不确定性描述,无法捕捉运营决策所需的合理能耗轨迹范围。本文提出一种条件扩散框架,根据车辆速度、环境温度等路线特征生成电动汽车电池电流轨迹。模型结合潜在条件编码器与时间1D U-Net去噪主干,将行程相关条件映射为共享表示并引导逆向扩散过程。在包含9辆电动车12,000次行程的公开电动车遥测数据集上评估,所提潜变量条件扩散模型生成的电流轨迹能准确反映主导时序包络与瞬态事件。生成分布与实测分布间Wasserstein距离为0.0029,低于实测间参考距离0.0085,表明生成样本落在测试集经验变异性范围内。进一步证明,学习到的隐式条件编码显著优于直接条件注入,使Wasserstein距离降低89.1%,MAE下降52.8%。该工作展示了在真实运行条件下表征电动车能耗的生成建模框架,为大规模运营场景中的不确定性感知车队规划提供基础。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Electrification of commercial delivery fleets is shifting fleet routing from distance- and time-based optimization toward energy-aware decision-making. Existing sequence models primarily provide deterministic point estimates or limited uncertainty summaries, which do not capture the range of plausible energy-consumption trajectories required for operational decision-making. In this work, we introduce a conditional diffusion framework that generates EV battery-current profiles conditioned on route features such as vehicle velocity and ambient temperature. The model combines a latent conditioning encoder with a temporal 1D U-Net denoising backbone that enables trip-related conditions to be mapped into a shared representation and guides the reverse diffusion process. We evaluate the framework on an open-access commercial EV telemetry dataset containing 12k trips from 9 vehicles. The proposed latent-conditioned diffusion model generates realistic cur- rent trajectories that capture both the dominant temporal envelope and sharp transient events. The model achieves a Wasserstein distance of 0.0029 between generated and measured current distributions below the real vs real reference distance of 0.0085 indicating that generated samples lie within the empirical variability of the test set. We further demonstrate that learned latent conditioning substantially improves performance over direct condition injection, reducing the Wasserstein distance by 89.1% and MAE by 52.8%. This work demonstrates a generative modeling framework for characterizing EV energy consumption under real-world operating conditions, providing an essential foundation for uncertainty-aware fleet planning in large-scale operational settings.

扩散模型电动车能耗生成模型车队调度

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