用机器学习快速分类电网故障风险,提升系统安全评估效率。
Data-Optimized Contingency Screening: A Machine Learning Approach to Power System Security
- 结合潮流计算与混合预处理,构建电网故障风险分类模型。
- 随机森林在IEEE-30上实现0.97的F1分数,表现最优。
- 主成分分析比数据增强更有效,适合实时安全评估场景。
保障电力系统安全对稳定运行至关重要,尤其在突发扰动下。本文采用机器学习方法将电网故障情景分类为安全、中等或严重三类,以支持主动决策并防止大规模故障。基于牛顿-拉夫逊潮流法提取故障场景数据,以总体性能指数(OPI)作为安全度量。针对类别不平衡和高维问题,分别使用SMOTE和主成分分析(PCA)进行数据预处理。在IEEE-14和IEEE-30节点系统上,对k=1,2,3的N-k故障场景生成数据集,测试了KNN、随机森林(RF)和支持向量机(SVM)在四种混合预处理配置下的表现:归一化、SMOTE平衡、PCA变换及两者结合。评估指标为精确率、召回率和F1分数,重点关注严重故障类别的识别。结果显示,随机森林在IEEE-30系统上达到0.97的最高F1分数,在IEEE-14上为0.86;SVM经PCA后准确率显著提升;KNN在SMOTE与PCA联合转换下表现最佳。主成分分析对模型整体性能的贡献大于SMOTE,后者虽提升召回率但可能引入误报,需权衡精度。研究表明,机器学习可作为传统故障分析的高效替代方案,实现电网安全的实时评估。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Ensuring the security of the power system is essential for stability and reliability, especially in the event of disruption. Effective classification of contingency in power systems enables proactive decision-making and mitigates large-scale breakdowns and failures. This study explores the use of machine learning algorithms to classify security levels of contingencies in power systems into safe, moderate or severe classes. For this approach, Newton-Raphson load flow method extracts system data from contingency scenarios, using Overall Performance Index (OPI) as safety measure. For data pre-processing, Synthetic Minority Over-Sampling Technique (SMOTE) and Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is used to address class imbalance and reduce dimensionality, respectively. K-Nearest Neighbours (KNN), Random Forest (RF) and Support Vector Machines (SVM) is trained and evaluated on datasets generated through N-k contingency scenarios for k equal 1, 2, and 3 on IEEE-14 and IEEE-30 bus systems using four hybrid pre-processing configurations: normalized, SMOTE-balanced, PCA-transformed, and a combined SMOTE PCA-transformed. Performance is assessed by precision, recall and F1 score, with priority given to the severe contingency classes. The RF achieved the highest F1 scores of 0.97 in IEEE-30 and 0.86 in IEEE-14, SVM benefits significantly from PCA and improves the accuracy of the classification, while KNN is best suited for SMOTE and PCA conversion. The findings show that PCA contributes more than SMOTE to the overall performance of the model. However, SMOTE improves recall but can introduce false positives and is therefore a compromise of accuracy. This study highlights machine learning as a scalable and powerful alternative to traditional contingency analysis, which improves the assessment of security in real time.
Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。