用统一模型提升工业过程监控精度与稳定性,支持少样本适应。
IPM-FM: A Foundation Model with Consensus Feature Selection for Industrial Process Monitoring

- 自监督预训练+共识特征选择,从无标签数据中学习通用表征。
- 在7年加氢裂化数据上实现RMSE 2.99、R² 0.50,预测区间覆盖率97%。
- 适合需要高可靠性、少标注数据的工业场景,如安全监测与软传感。
工业过程监控对现代工艺厂的安全与经济性能至关重要。当前普遍采用一任务一模型模式,存在标签效率低、运行漂移下性能退化等问题。尽管基础模型已重塑语言、视觉和通用时间序列预测,但尚未适配工业过程监控。该领域面临特定挑战,如安全关键决策及过程变量与实验室测量间采样不对称。本文提出工业过程监控基础模型IPM-FM:先通过自监督预训练从无标签工业数据中学习通用表征,再用少量任务标注数据微调,最后通过不确定性感知预测头生成校准输出。IPM-FM融合自监督Informer主干、多准则共识特征选择器、递归滞后特征回归头及校准蒙特卡洛丢弃不确定性模块。在为期七年的柴油闪点软传感数据集上,其RMSE为2.99,R²为0.50,95%预测区间覆盖率达97%,相较最强经典模型和从零训练基线分别降低8.3%和14.6%的RMSE,验证了统一预训练-适应框架在工业监控中的可行性。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Industrial process monitoring is fundamental to the safety and economic performance of modern process plants. Current practice remains a one-task-one-model paradigm that is label-inefficient and prone to degradation under operating drift. Foundation models have reshaped language, vision, and generic time-series forecasting, but it has not been adapted to industrial process monitoring. This setting poses domain-specific challenges, including safety-critical decisions and asymmetric sampling between process variables and laboratory measurements. We propose the industrial process monitoring foundation model (IPM-FM). It first learns general-purpose representations from unlabeled industrial process data through self-supervised pretraining, then adapts to specific monitoring tasks using a small amount of task-labeled data, and finally produces calibrated predictions through an uncertainty-aware prediction head. IPM-FM integrates a self-supervised Informer backbone with a multi-criteria consensus feature selector, a recursive lag-feature regression head, and a calibrated Monte Carlo dropout uncertainty module. On a seven-year hydrotreater dataset for diesel flash-point soft sensing, IPM-FM attains an RMSE of 2.99, $R^2$ of 0.50, and 97\% coverage of its 95\% predictive interval, outperforming the strongest classical and from-scratch sequence baselines by 8.3\% and 14.6\% in RMSE respectively, supporting the viability of a unified pretraining--adaptation framework for industrial process monitoring.
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